Financial Trends -- 9/10

Near-textbook strong. Revenue driven by record ADV (36.2M contracts in Q1'26). Revenue +14.5% YoY in Q1'26, accelerating from +10.4% in Q1'25. Free cash flow margin of ~66%, growing +12.3% YoY -- best-in-class among financial infrastructure peers. Operating margin expanding on volume-driven operating leverage. Share count stable/slightly declining. ~82% of revenue from clearing and transaction fees (volume-driven). No penalty modifiers. Weight: 25%
Q1'26 Revenue
+14.5% YoY
FCF Margin
~66%
+12.3% YoY | Best-in-class
Record ADV
36.2M
Volume-driven revenue
Operating Leverage
Expanding
Margin expanding | Highly scalable
Total Revenue (quarterly, $M)
Metric Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26
Revenue ($M) $1,488M $1,533M $1,584M $1,525M $1,642M $1,692M $1,538M $1,649M $1,880M
YoY Growth +3.2% +12.7% +18.4% +6.0% +10.4% +10.4% -3.0% +8.1% +14.5%
Key trends
Source: Daloopa. FYE December 31. All figures linked to source records.

Free Cash Flow Profile
Metric Value
FCF Margin (Q1'26) ~66%
FCF YoY Growth (Q1'26) +12.3%
5-Year FCF CAGR ~16.5%
Capex Intensity ~$85M annually (~1.3% of revenue)
Net Margin ~63%
Key trends
Source: Daloopa

Clearing and Transaction Fees (quarterly, $M)
Metric Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25
Clearing Fees ($M) $1,209M $1,250M $1,297M $1,232M $1,337M $1,388M $1,228M $1,328M
YoY Growth +10.6% +11.1% -5.3% +7.8%
Key trends
Source: Daloopa

Market Data Revenue (quarterly, $M)
Metric Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25
Market Data ($M) $175M $175M $178M $182M $195M $198M $203M $208M
YoY Growth +10.9% +13.2% +13.6% +14.5%
Key trends
Source: Daloopa

Adj. Operating Margin (quarterly)
Metric Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25
Adj. Op. Margin 69% 69% 69% 66% 71% 71% 68% 67%
YoY Change +200 bps +200 bps -100 bps +100 bps
Key trends
Source: Daloopa

5-Year Annual Summary
Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Revenue ($M) $4,690M $5,019M $5,579M $6,130M $6,521M
Revenue YoY +7.0% +11.1% +9.9% +6.4%
Adj. Diluted EPS $6.69 $7.98 $9.34 $10.26 $11.21
Adj. EPS YoY +19.3% +17.0% +9.9% +9.3%
Adj. Op. Margin 68.3% 69.4%
Market Data ($M) $577M $611M $664M $710M $803M
Key trends
Source: Daloopa

Score rationale

CME Group earns a 9/10 on Financial Trends. Q1'26 revenue of $1,880M (+14.5% YoY) was a quarterly record, driven by record ADV of 36.2M contracts. Revenue growth is accelerating, not decelerating. Free cash flow margin of ~66% is best-in-class among financial infrastructure companies, growing +12.3% YoY with a 5-year FCF CAGR of ~16.5%. Operating margin continues to expand on the highly scalable, largely fixed-cost clearing infrastructure. Share count is stable/slightly declining following the initiation of buybacks in Q4'25.

~82% of revenue comes from clearing and transaction fees, which are directly volume-driven. Market data ($803M in FY2025, +13.1% YoY) provides a high-quality recurring revenue floor with 31+ consecutive quarters of growth. Average RPC is stable, with fee changes adding ~2-2.5% annually to pre-tax income.

No penalty modifiers apply: no debt concerns (net cash from clearing operations), no accounting irregularities, no one-time items inflating the results. The only reason this is not a 10/10 is the inherent volume sensitivity -- Q3'25 showed a -3.0% YoY revenue decline when volatility compressed, demonstrating that even the best exchange is not fully immune to the macro environment.

Score: 9/10


Data sourced from Daloopa, company filings. FYE December 31.