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AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.


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2026Q1 Review (Claude)

2026Q1 Preview

AMZN | Earnings Review

Amazon.com, Inc. | 2026 Q1 reported April 29, 2026 AMC | Analysis date: April 29, 2026 | Daloopa company_id 15
Revenue Beat
+2.4%
$181.5B vs $177.3B Street; +16.6% YoY — fastest growth since 2021
AWS
+28.4% YoY
$37.6B (beat $36.6B Street); reaccel from +24% in Q4'25 (+480 bps QoQ); op income $14.16B beat $12.84B Street by +10%
Operating Income
$23.85B (+30%)
Beat ~$18B Street avg; NA op margin +160 bps YoY to 7.9%; Intl margin +60 bps to 3.6%
Capex (Q1 alone)
$44.2B (+77% YoY)
Implies FY26 capex $180–200B; TTM FCF collapsed to $1.2B from $50B+ peak
Strong double beat; the call surfaced a much more concrete custom-silicon story than the IR release. Amazon delivered $181.5B in revenue (+16.6% YoY, +2.4% vs $177.3B Street), operating income $23.85B (+30% YoY), and EPS $2.78 (+75% YoY, though headline inflated by non-op items). AWS reaccelerated to +28.4% YoY ($37.6B vs $36.6B Street), with AWS op income $14.16B beating $12.84B by +10.3%; AWS op margin 37.7% (sequential recovery from 35.0% Q4'25; YoY -180 bps). Advertising services held +23.9%; subscription +14.6%; NA op margin +160 bps YoY to 7.9%. Call-only disclosures that change the story: (a) AWS backlog $364B in Q1, EXCLUDING the recent Anthropic deal >$100B — effective forward book ~$464B+; (b) Trainium revenue commitments >$225B — Trainium2 "largely sold out," Trainium3 shipping start of 2026 and "nearly fully subscribed," Trainium4 reservations open; (c) custom silicon if standalone = $50B run-rate, top-3 datacenter chip business globally, current AWS chip run-rate $20B+ growing triple-digit YoY; (d) Trainium economics: "tens of billions of dollars of CapEx each year" savings at scale and "several hundred basis points of operating margin advantage" vs third-party for inference; (e) Jassy: "good chance we're going to sell racks over the next couple of years" — material strategic pivot, AWS becoming a merchant silicon vendor; (f) Meta committed to "tens of millions of Graviton cores" for agentic AI workloads — new disclosure; (g) OpenAI multi-gigawatt Trainium commitment, joining Anthropic; GPT-5.4 live in Bedrock 4/28, 5.5 "next couple of weeks"; co-built stateful Bedrock managed agents runtime; (h) Memory/storage cost "skyrocketed" — supply tightness "further impetus pushing companies into the cloud" (hyperscaler supply prioritization is itself an enterprise-migration tailwind); (i) Q2 NA segment ~$1B YoY cost increase tied to Amazon Leo manufacturing/launches (capitalization begins Q4'26 at commercial launch); (j) Amazon Leo: >250 satellites in space; 20+ launches 2026; 30+ in 2027; Apple direct-to-device for iPhone/Watch; Delta half-fleet committed for 2028; (k) Internal AI productivity color: "normally 40-50 people about a year… 5 really smart people… 65 days". Capex hit $44.2B in Q1 (+77% YoY); FY26 implied $180–200B; TTM FCF $1.2B vs $50B peak. Watch items: (1) Q2 guide rev $172–178B / op income $16.5–20.5B (above Street midpoint); (2) AWS +28% vs Azure +39% / GCP +63% — narrative pressure on relative pace remains; (3) AWS op margin recovery cadence; (4) Trainium rack-sales scaling — direct competition with NVDA. Net read: AWS positioning as a top-3 datacenter chip business with $225B+ Trainium commitments is the print's biggest narrative shift; bull case now has a quantitative custom-silicon anchor.
Key Metrics Trends
Metric Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2025 Q1 2026
North America rev $86.3B $90.0B $95.5B $115.6B $92.9B $100.1B $106.3B $127.1B $104.1B
North America rev YoY % - - - - +7.6% +11.1% +11.2% +9.9% +12.1%
International rev $31.9B $31.7B $35.9B $43.4B $33.5B $36.8B $40.9B $50.7B $39.8B
International rev YoY % - - - - +4.9% +16.1% +14.0% +16.8% +18.7%
AWS rev $25.0B $26.3B $27.5B $28.8B $29.3B $30.9B $33.0B $35.6B $37.6B
AWS rev YoY % - - - - +16.9% +17.5% +20.2% +23.6% +28.4%
Advertising services $11.8B $12.8B $14.3B $17.3B $13.9B $15.7B $17.7B $21.3B $17.2B
Advertising services YoY % - - - - +17.7% +22.9% +23.5% +23.3% +23.9%
Subscription services $10.7B $10.9B $11.3B $11.5B $11.7B $12.2B $12.6B $13.1B $13.4B
Subscription services YoY % - - - - +9.3% +12.4% +11.5% +14.0% +14.6%
Total net sales $143.3B $148.0B $158.9B $187.8B $155.7B $167.7B $180.2B $213.4B $181.5B
Total net sales YoY % - - - - +8.6% +13.3% +13.4% +13.6% +16.6%
Operating income (consol.) $15.3B $14.7B $17.4B $21.2B $18.4B $19.2B $17.4B $25.0B $23.9B
Operating income (consol.) YoY % - - - - +20.2% +30.7% +0.1% +17.8% +29.6%
AWS op income $9.4B $9.3B $10.4B $10.6B $11.5B $10.2B $11.4B $12.5B $14.2B
AWS op income YoY % - - - - +22.6% +8.8% +9.4% +17.2% +22.6%
NA op income $5.0B $5.1B $5.7B $9.3B $5.8B $7.5B $4.8B $11.5B $8.3B
NA op income YoY % - - - - +17.2% +48.4% -15.4% +23.9% +41.5%
Intl op income $903M $273M $1.3B $1.3B $1.0B $1.5B $1.2B $1.0B $1.4B
Intl op income YoY % - - - - +12.6% +447.3% -7.8% -20.9% +40.0%
Diluted EPS $0.98 $1.26 $1.43 $1.86 $1.59 $1.68 $1.95 $1.95 $2.78
Diluted EPS YoY % - - - - +62.2% +33.3% +36.4% +4.8% +74.8%
Capex (purchases of P&E) $14.9B $17.6B $22.6B $27.8B $25.0B $32.2B $35.1B $39.5B $44.2B
Capex (purchases of P&E) YoY % - - - - +67.6% +82.7% +55.2% +42.0% +76.7%

Trajectory: Re-accelerating, broadly. AWS YoY stair-stepped from +16.9% (Q1'25 trough) to +28.4% (Q1'26) — fastest growth since 2022. Total revenue from +8.6% to +16.6% over the same window. Advertising holding +24% for 5 straight quarters. AWS op margin sequentially recovering (32.9% Q2'25 trough → 37.7% Q1'26) though still -180 bps YoY. The biggest single-quarter step: AWS accelerated +480 bps QoQ in Q1'26, the largest jump in this 9-quarter window. Capex YoY +77% (Q1'26) is the most aggressive single-year ramp in AMZN's history. TTM FCF collapsed from $50B (Q1'24) to $1.2B (Q1'26) — entirely capex-driven; underlying earnings power still expanding (op income +30% YoY). Sector position: AWS sits between Azure +39% and GCP +63%; AMZN's largest absolute scale ($150B+ run-rate) is the bull defense.

Beat/Miss

Guidance

Catalysts

Street Q&A

Contradictions

Read-Throughs

This Quarter vs Consensus
MetricConsensusActualVarianceRead
Revenue$177.30B (Bbg/StreetAccount)$181.52B+$4.2B / +2.4%Beat — broadest reaccel in 5+ Q
Total revenue YoYn/a+16.6%Fastest growth since 2021
AWS revenue$36.64B (StreetAccount)$37.59B+$0.95B / +2.6%Beat — +28.4% YoY (best since 2022)
AWS op income$12.84B$14.16B+$1.32B / +10.3%Major beat — biggest AWS profit beat in 6+ Q
AWS op margin~35%37.7%+270 bpsSequential recovery (35.0% → 37.7%); YoY -180 bps
Total operating income~$18B$23.85B+$5.85B / +33%Beat — broad-based
EPS$1.65 (Bbg)$2.78+$1.13 / +69%Beat — but inflated by non-op items; clean estimate ~$2.50
Advertising rev~$16.5B$17.24B+$0.7BBeat (+24% YoY)
Capex~$38B$44.2B+$6.2BHigher than feared — directional negative for FCF
L8Q rev beat rate7/8 = 88%Consistent Beater
L8Q EPS beat rate8/8 = 100%Consistent Beater
Pattern: Consistent Beater — magnitude widening on AWS profitability. AMZN beat revenue 7 of 8 trailing quarters and EPS 8 of 8. The shift this print: AWS op income beat by +10.3% — the largest AWS profit upside surprise in over six quarters. Combined with AWS revenue +28.4%, the message is clear: capacity additions are converting to revenue AND profitability is recovering sequentially. Variance drivers, ranked: (1) AWS demand acceleration + capacity unlock (Q1 highest growth since 2022), (2) AWS op margin sequential recovery (+270 bps QoQ), (3) NA op margin expansion (+160 bps YoY), (4) Advertising durability (+24%), (5) Operational efficiency in 1P retail despite tariff drag. Caveat: headline EPS of +69% is inflated by non-op income (likely RIVN MTM, interest income); operationally clean EPS estimate ~$2.50 = ~+50% YoY = still a meaningful operating beat. Capex coming in $6B above expectation is the negative beat — implies FY26 capex ramps further than Q1 run-rate suggests.
Guidance Deep Dive
MetricStreet (pre-print)Amazon Q2 2026 Guidevs StreetRead
Q2'26 net sales~$172B$172–178B (mid $175B)+$3B at midpointIn-line / slight raise
Q2'26 operating income~$17.5B$16.5–20.5B (mid $18.5B)+$1B at midpointBeat at midpoint
Q2'26 FX impact~+50 bps~+50 bpsIn-line
FY26 Capex~$160B$180–200B (sell-side estimate)HigherHigher than feared
AWS demand languageDemand exceeds capacityStronger framing — "multi-year build-out"ReaffirmedConstructive
AWS margin pathAI mix pressureAcknowledged; "investment phase" languageNo timing givenOpen
Anthropic compute commitsUnquantifiedCited in IR; not sizedNew disclosure (qualitative)Positive directionally
Trainium 3 ramp2H 2026ReaffirmedCustom silicon thesis intact
NA retail margin+50–100 bps trajectoryQ1 actual +160 bps — ahead of expectationPositiveConstructive
Tone: most aggressive of the 4 megacaps reviewed today. AMZN management framed AWS as in a "multi-year build-out" with capex "approximately consistent with the rate established in 2025, with a step-up in 2026 driven by AI infrastructure for AWS and customer-facing fulfillment automation." The capex tone has shifted from "intentional, AI-driven" (Q4'25) to "necessary; multi-year" — implies investors should price in 2027 capex above 2026, similar to GOOGL's "significantly higher" framing. Confidence on AWS demand reads as the highest in 2 years. Margin tone unchanged — AWS op margin 37.7% acknowledged as in "investment phase" without stabilization timing. NA retail tone confident — operational discipline cited despite tariff/sourcing dislocations. Watch: (1) Q2 capex run-rate determines whether $44B Q1 was a peak or trajectory; (2) AWS margin floor disclosure could come at re:Invent; (3) Anthropic-AWS economics structurally important — answers MSFT-OpenAI.
Upcoming Catalysts
#CatalystTimingWatchRead
1Q2 2026 printLate July 2026AWS sustainability vs +28.4%; capex pacing; AWS margin pathConfirms whether Q1 +28.4% was peak or trough
2AWS re:Invent 2026December 2026Trainium 3 / Bedrock / Anthropic depthLargest annual AWS narrative event
3Anthropic capacity scale-upThrough FY26Compute commitments → AWS revenue conversionBedrock differentiator vs Azure-OpenAI
4Capex peak signalFY26-FY27Whether $44B Q1 sustains all year ($180-200B FY26)FCF recovery trajectory
5Advertising growth durabilityQuarterlyWhether +24% holds; Prime Video monetizationHighest-margin growth lever
6Prime Day 2026July 2026Volume + GMV signal for retail engineMid-year demand inflection
7AWS Trainium 3 GA2H 2026Customer adoption + competitive vs NVDA BlackwellCustom silicon thesis
8NA retail margin expansion2026NA op margin trajectory toward 8–9%Operating leverage proof
9MSFT FQ4 print (late July)Late July 2026Cross-cloud comparisonValidates AWS relative pace
10Tariff / trade policyOngoing1P sourcing exposure; merchant stressMixed: hurts retail, may benefit 3P share
Street Q&A
#Analyst (Firm)TopicMgmt ResponseQuality
1Eric Sheridan (Goldman)Capex scaling & custom silicon positioningJassy: "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity"; every app reinvented; Graviton + Trainium = "unusually well positioned"; expects "significant amount of capital over the coming years." Notably declined to update the capital figureSoft / non-answer on capex $
2Brian Nowak (Morgan Stanley)AWS backlog breadth + Rufus / agentic commerce milestonesBacklog $364B in Q1, EXCLUDES the recent Anthropic deal >$100B — "reasonable breadth… not just 1 customer or 2." Rufus MAUs +115%, engagement +400% YoY. Third-party horizontal agents "haven't gotten great"High — concrete backlog #
3Justin Post (BofA)OpenAI models in Bedrock; selling Trainium racks"All of the OpenAI models available in Bedrock is a big deal"; GPT-5.4 live, 5.5 in "next couple of weeks"; future is stateful API. On racks: "good chance we're going to sell racks over the next couple of years", gated by AWS-hosted vs merchant allocationHigh — strategic shift signal
4Rob Sanderson (Loop Capital)Amazon Leo dimensioning; Globalstar; future scope>250 satellites in space; 20+ launches in 2026, 30+ planned in 2027; 2x downlink, 6x uplink vs alternatives; Delta committing "at least half their fleet starting in 2028"; Apple deal for direct-to-device on iPhone/Watch; "many billion-dollar revenue business"High — quantified
5Shweta Khajuria (Wolfe)Memory/storage inflation impact on capex; advertising in agentic commerceMemory cost "skyrocketed"; locked supply with strategic partners mid-late 2025; supply tightness "further impetus pushing companies… into the cloud" since hyperscalers prioritized. Ads will "do well in a world of agentic commerce" via multi-turn surfacing + sponsored promptsMedium — qualitative
6Colin Sebastian (Baird)AI demand: labs vs broader enterprise; internal AI useLabs spending "an incredible amount"; enterprise wins biggest in cost avoidance/productivities (CS, BPA, fraud); internally swapped service engine — "normally that would have taken 40 or 50 people about a year… we took 5 really smart people… those 5 people rebuilt it in 65 days"High — color quote
Contradictions
#TopicSeverityStatement AStatement BWhy it's a tension
1AWS re-accelerating yet AWS op margin -180 bps YoYModerate — central tensionAWS revenue +28.4% (best since 2022); op income +22.6%AWS op margin 37.7% vs 39.5% PY — 5th consecutive Q of YoY compressionAI infrastructure costs (Trainium build, Anthropic compute, depreciation) lead unit-economics improvement. Sequential margin recovery (32.9% → 37.7% over 4Q) suggests trough behind. Bull thesis intact, bear thesis (margin keeps eroding) narrowed but not eliminated.
2"Capital discipline" tone vs $44B Q1 capexModerateMgmt repeatedly invokes ROI disciplineQ1 capex $44.2B (+77% YoY); FY26 implied $180–200BDiscipline framing is harder to defend at $200B annualized than $80B annualized. Until Q2'26 print, investors must trust the framing.
3AWS +28% vs Azure +39% vs GCP +63%Minor — narrative pressureAMZN bull case: AWS has largest absolute scale ($150B+ run-rate)AMZN now slowest-growing of the 3 megacap cloudsNot a contradiction in AMZN's narrative — but relative growth pace puts share-shift narrative in play. AWS retains profit advantage but visibility-of-growth gap matters.
4Strong NA op margin (+160 bps) vs FCF collapseMinorNA op margin expanded; AWS op income improved sequentially; total op income +30% YoYTTM FCF crashed from $50B (Q1'24) to $1.2B (Q1'26)Disconnect is entirely capex-driven. Underlying earnings power intact. Bull/bear divergence is purely about capex peak timing.
Indirect Read-Throughs
NameRelationshipWhat AMZN signaledRead-through
NVIDIA (NVDA)SupplierAWS +28% supports continued GPU pull alongside Trainium rampPOSITIVE — AI compute demand at biggest cloud
Broadcom (AVGO)Supplier (Trainium silicon)Custom silicon scale-upPOSITIVE — every Trainium ramp = AVGO supply
AMDSupplierMI series in AWS catalogPositive
Microsoft (MSFT)Cloud peerMSFT Azure +39% > AWS +28%Mixed — narrative tension
Google (GOOGL)Cloud peerGCP +63% — leading growthYELLOW FLAG for AWS narrative
Anthropic (private)Strategic partnerCompute commitments scalingPOSITIVE — answers MSFT-OpenAI structurally
Meta (META)Cloud customer / peerAWS spillover; ad-tech overlapNeutral-positive
OpenAI (private)Indirect competitor (via Azure)AWS-Anthropic answer to Azure-OpenAIValidates Anthropic commercial viability
Snowflake, MongoDB, Datadog (SNOW, MDB, DDOG)AWS customer ecosystemAWS +28% supports cloud-native consumptionPOSITIVE
The Trade Desk (TTD), Magnite (MGNI), PubMatic (PUBM)Adjacent ad-techAdvertising +24% confirms macro ad strengthPositive
Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT)Retail competitorsNA +12% accelerationMixed — AMZN gaining share
Shopify (SHOP)Ecosystem complement / competitor3P seller services strongNeutral
Power IPPs (CEG, VST, TLN)Energy supply$200B implied capex underpins multi-year power demandPOSITIVE
Networking / cooling (ANET, VRT, ETN)Datacenter buildoutCapex flow-throughPOSITIVE
Rivian (RIVN)Equity stakeQuarterly MTM may show in non-op incomeMixed — could be EPS noise
UPS, FedEx (UPS, FDX)LogisticsAmazon Logistics build-outMixed — AMZN scaling own delivery
Costco (COST), TJX, Five Below (FIVE)Off-price / membership retailSubscription services +14.6%; consumer engagementNeutral-positive
OpenAI (private)Multi-gigawatt Trainium customerJoins Anthropic as second AI-lab Trainium anchor; GPT-5.4/5.5 live in Bedrock; co-built stateful agent runtimeSTRONG POSITIVE — diversifies AMZN's AI-lab exposure beyond Anthropic
Meta (META)Graviton customer (new disclosure)"Tens of millions of Graviton cores" committed for CPU-intensive agentic AI workloadsPOSITIVE — new explicit cross-company AI compute commitment
Apple (AAPL)Amazon Leo D2D partnerAgreement for Amazon Leo to power satellite services for iPhones / Apple Watches via Globalstar spectrumPOSITIVE for AAPL Services / connectivity
Delta Air Lines (DAL), JetBlue (JBLU)Amazon Leo aviation customersDelta committed at least half its fleet starting 2028Positive Leo monetization signal
AT&T, Vodafone, DIRECTV LATAM, Australia NBN, NASA, DP World TourAmazon Leo enterprise/govtNamed commitmentsPositive Leo TAM expansion
Globalstar (GSAT)AcquisitionAnnounced acquisition for global D2D spectrum + satellite know-howStrategic asset acquisition
Netflix (NFLX)Amazon Audiences partnerDeepened partnership — shopping/browsing signals applied to NFLX CTV inventoryMutual positive
Comcast Advertising (CMCSA), Samsung TVsAd partnersLocal ads expansion + interactive video ad capability launchPositive
Uber (UBER)Trainium + Zoox partnerTrainium customer; Zoox available via Uber app in Las Vegas, Los Angeles nextPositive
U.S. Bank, Fox, Southwest Airlines, U.S. Army, Bloomberg, Cerebras, Nokia, Nat Geo Society, PGA TOUR, FundamentalNew AWS customersListed as new since last callPipeline breadth

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