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AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc.
Earnings
AMZN | Earnings Review
| Metric | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America rev | $86.3B | $90.0B | $95.5B | $115.6B | $92.9B | $100.1B | $106.3B | $127.1B | $104.1B |
| North America rev YoY % | - | - | - | - | +7.6% | +11.1% | +11.2% | +9.9% | +12.1% |
| International rev | $31.9B | $31.7B | $35.9B | $43.4B | $33.5B | $36.8B | $40.9B | $50.7B | $39.8B |
| International rev YoY % | - | - | - | - | +4.9% | +16.1% | +14.0% | +16.8% | +18.7% |
| AWS rev | $25.0B | $26.3B | $27.5B | $28.8B | $29.3B | $30.9B | $33.0B | $35.6B | $37.6B |
| AWS rev YoY % | - | - | - | - | +16.9% | +17.5% | +20.2% | +23.6% | +28.4% |
| Advertising services | $11.8B | $12.8B | $14.3B | $17.3B | $13.9B | $15.7B | $17.7B | $21.3B | $17.2B |
| Advertising services YoY % | - | - | - | - | +17.7% | +22.9% | +23.5% | +23.3% | +23.9% |
| Subscription services | $10.7B | $10.9B | $11.3B | $11.5B | $11.7B | $12.2B | $12.6B | $13.1B | $13.4B |
| Subscription services YoY % | - | - | - | - | +9.3% | +12.4% | +11.5% | +14.0% | +14.6% |
| Total net sales | $143.3B | $148.0B | $158.9B | $187.8B | $155.7B | $167.7B | $180.2B | $213.4B | $181.5B |
| Total net sales YoY % | - | - | - | - | +8.6% | +13.3% | +13.4% | +13.6% | +16.6% |
| Operating income (consol.) | $15.3B | $14.7B | $17.4B | $21.2B | $18.4B | $19.2B | $17.4B | $25.0B | $23.9B |
| Operating income (consol.) YoY % | - | - | - | - | +20.2% | +30.7% | +0.1% | +17.8% | +29.6% |
| AWS op income | $9.4B | $9.3B | $10.4B | $10.6B | $11.5B | $10.2B | $11.4B | $12.5B | $14.2B |
| AWS op income YoY % | - | - | - | - | +22.6% | +8.8% | +9.4% | +17.2% | +22.6% |
| NA op income | $5.0B | $5.1B | $5.7B | $9.3B | $5.8B | $7.5B | $4.8B | $11.5B | $8.3B |
| NA op income YoY % | - | - | - | - | +17.2% | +48.4% | -15.4% | +23.9% | +41.5% |
| Intl op income | $903M | $273M | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.0B | $1.5B | $1.2B | $1.0B | $1.4B |
| Intl op income YoY % | - | - | - | - | +12.6% | +447.3% | -7.8% | -20.9% | +40.0% |
| Diluted EPS | $0.98 | $1.26 | $1.43 | $1.86 | $1.59 | $1.68 | $1.95 | $1.95 | $2.78 |
| Diluted EPS YoY % | - | - | - | - | +62.2% | +33.3% | +36.4% | +4.8% | +74.8% |
| Capex (purchases of P&E) | $14.9B | $17.6B | $22.6B | $27.8B | $25.0B | $32.2B | $35.1B | $39.5B | $44.2B |
| Capex (purchases of P&E) YoY % | - | - | - | - | +67.6% | +82.7% | +55.2% | +42.0% | +76.7% |
Trajectory: Re-accelerating, broadly. AWS YoY stair-stepped from +16.9% (Q1'25 trough) to +28.4% (Q1'26) — fastest growth since 2022. Total revenue from +8.6% to +16.6% over the same window. Advertising holding +24% for 5 straight quarters. AWS op margin sequentially recovering (32.9% Q2'25 trough → 37.7% Q1'26) though still -180 bps YoY. The biggest single-quarter step: AWS accelerated +480 bps QoQ in Q1'26, the largest jump in this 9-quarter window. Capex YoY +77% (Q1'26) is the most aggressive single-year ramp in AMZN's history. TTM FCF collapsed from $50B (Q1'24) to $1.2B (Q1'26) — entirely capex-driven; underlying earnings power still expanding (op income +30% YoY). Sector position: AWS sits between Azure +39% and GCP +63%; AMZN's largest absolute scale ($150B+ run-rate) is the bull defense.
Beat/Miss
Guidance
Catalysts
Street Q&A
Contradictions
Read-Throughs
| Metric | Consensus | Actual | Variance | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $177.30B (Bbg/StreetAccount) | $181.52B | +$4.2B / +2.4% | Beat — broadest reaccel in 5+ Q |
| Total revenue YoY | n/a | +16.6% | — | Fastest growth since 2021 |
| AWS revenue | $36.64B (StreetAccount) | $37.59B | +$0.95B / +2.6% | Beat — +28.4% YoY (best since 2022) |
| AWS op income | $12.84B | $14.16B | +$1.32B / +10.3% | Major beat — biggest AWS profit beat in 6+ Q |
| AWS op margin | ~35% | 37.7% | +270 bps | Sequential recovery (35.0% → 37.7%); YoY -180 bps |
| Total operating income | ~$18B | $23.85B | +$5.85B / +33% | Beat — broad-based |
| EPS | $1.65 (Bbg) | $2.78 | +$1.13 / +69% | Beat — but inflated by non-op items; clean estimate ~$2.50 |
| Advertising rev | ~$16.5B | $17.24B | +$0.7B | Beat (+24% YoY) |
| Capex | ~$38B | $44.2B | +$6.2B | Higher than feared — directional negative for FCF |
| L8Q rev beat rate | — | 7/8 = 88% | — | Consistent Beater |
| L8Q EPS beat rate | — | 8/8 = 100% | — | Consistent Beater |
| Metric | Street (pre-print) | Amazon Q2 2026 Guide | vs Street | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26 net sales | ~$172B | $172–178B (mid $175B) | +$3B at midpoint | In-line / slight raise |
| Q2'26 operating income | ~$17.5B | $16.5–20.5B (mid $18.5B) | +$1B at midpoint | Beat at midpoint |
| Q2'26 FX impact | ~+50 bps | ~+50 bps | — | In-line |
| FY26 Capex | ~$160B | $180–200B (sell-side estimate) | Higher | Higher than feared |
| AWS demand language | Demand exceeds capacity | Stronger framing — "multi-year build-out" | Reaffirmed | Constructive |
| AWS margin path | AI mix pressure | Acknowledged; "investment phase" language | No timing given | Open |
| Anthropic compute commits | Unquantified | Cited in IR; not sized | New disclosure (qualitative) | Positive directionally |
| Trainium 3 ramp | 2H 2026 | Reaffirmed | — | Custom silicon thesis intact |
| NA retail margin | +50–100 bps trajectory | Q1 actual +160 bps — ahead of expectation | Positive | Constructive |
| # | Catalyst | Timing | Watch | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Q2 2026 print | Late July 2026 | AWS sustainability vs +28.4%; capex pacing; AWS margin path | Confirms whether Q1 +28.4% was peak or trough |
| 2 | AWS re:Invent 2026 | December 2026 | Trainium 3 / Bedrock / Anthropic depth | Largest annual AWS narrative event |
| 3 | Anthropic capacity scale-up | Through FY26 | Compute commitments → AWS revenue conversion | Bedrock differentiator vs Azure-OpenAI |
| 4 | Capex peak signal | FY26-FY27 | Whether $44B Q1 sustains all year ($180-200B FY26) | FCF recovery trajectory |
| 5 | Advertising growth durability | Quarterly | Whether +24% holds; Prime Video monetization | Highest-margin growth lever |
| 6 | Prime Day 2026 | July 2026 | Volume + GMV signal for retail engine | Mid-year demand inflection |
| 7 | AWS Trainium 3 GA | 2H 2026 | Customer adoption + competitive vs NVDA Blackwell | Custom silicon thesis |
| 8 | NA retail margin expansion | 2026 | NA op margin trajectory toward 8–9% | Operating leverage proof |
| 9 | MSFT FQ4 print (late July) | Late July 2026 | Cross-cloud comparison | Validates AWS relative pace |
| 10 | Tariff / trade policy | Ongoing | 1P sourcing exposure; merchant stress | Mixed: hurts retail, may benefit 3P share |
| # | Analyst (Firm) | Topic | Mgmt Response | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Sheridan (Goldman) | Capex scaling & custom silicon positioning | Jassy: "once-in-a-lifetime opportunity"; every app reinvented; Graviton + Trainium = "unusually well positioned"; expects "significant amount of capital over the coming years." Notably declined to update the capital figure | Soft / non-answer on capex $ |
| 2 | Brian Nowak (Morgan Stanley) | AWS backlog breadth + Rufus / agentic commerce milestones | Backlog $364B in Q1, EXCLUDES the recent Anthropic deal >$100B — "reasonable breadth… not just 1 customer or 2." Rufus MAUs +115%, engagement +400% YoY. Third-party horizontal agents "haven't gotten great" | High — concrete backlog # |
| 3 | Justin Post (BofA) | OpenAI models in Bedrock; selling Trainium racks | "All of the OpenAI models available in Bedrock is a big deal"; GPT-5.4 live, 5.5 in "next couple of weeks"; future is stateful API. On racks: "good chance we're going to sell racks over the next couple of years", gated by AWS-hosted vs merchant allocation | High — strategic shift signal |
| 4 | Rob Sanderson (Loop Capital) | Amazon Leo dimensioning; Globalstar; future scope | >250 satellites in space; 20+ launches in 2026, 30+ planned in 2027; 2x downlink, 6x uplink vs alternatives; Delta committing "at least half their fleet starting in 2028"; Apple deal for direct-to-device on iPhone/Watch; "many billion-dollar revenue business" | High — quantified |
| 5 | Shweta Khajuria (Wolfe) | Memory/storage inflation impact on capex; advertising in agentic commerce | Memory cost "skyrocketed"; locked supply with strategic partners mid-late 2025; supply tightness "further impetus pushing companies… into the cloud" since hyperscalers prioritized. Ads will "do well in a world of agentic commerce" via multi-turn surfacing + sponsored prompts | Medium — qualitative |
| 6 | Colin Sebastian (Baird) | AI demand: labs vs broader enterprise; internal AI use | Labs spending "an incredible amount"; enterprise wins biggest in cost avoidance/productivities (CS, BPA, fraud); internally swapped service engine — "normally that would have taken 40 or 50 people about a year… we took 5 really smart people… those 5 people rebuilt it in 65 days" | High — color quote |
| # | Topic | Severity | Statement A | Statement B | Why it's a tension |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AWS re-accelerating yet AWS op margin -180 bps YoY | Moderate — central tension | AWS revenue +28.4% (best since 2022); op income +22.6% | AWS op margin 37.7% vs 39.5% PY — 5th consecutive Q of YoY compression | AI infrastructure costs (Trainium build, Anthropic compute, depreciation) lead unit-economics improvement. Sequential margin recovery (32.9% → 37.7% over 4Q) suggests trough behind. Bull thesis intact, bear thesis (margin keeps eroding) narrowed but not eliminated. |
| 2 | "Capital discipline" tone vs $44B Q1 capex | Moderate | Mgmt repeatedly invokes ROI discipline | Q1 capex $44.2B (+77% YoY); FY26 implied $180–200B | Discipline framing is harder to defend at $200B annualized than $80B annualized. Until Q2'26 print, investors must trust the framing. |
| 3 | AWS +28% vs Azure +39% vs GCP +63% | Minor — narrative pressure | AMZN bull case: AWS has largest absolute scale ($150B+ run-rate) | AMZN now slowest-growing of the 3 megacap clouds | Not a contradiction in AMZN's narrative — but relative growth pace puts share-shift narrative in play. AWS retains profit advantage but visibility-of-growth gap matters. |
| 4 | Strong NA op margin (+160 bps) vs FCF collapse | Minor | NA op margin expanded; AWS op income improved sequentially; total op income +30% YoY | TTM FCF crashed from $50B (Q1'24) to $1.2B (Q1'26) | Disconnect is entirely capex-driven. Underlying earnings power intact. Bull/bear divergence is purely about capex peak timing. |
| Name | Relationship | What AMZN signaled | Read-through |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA (NVDA) | Supplier | AWS +28% supports continued GPU pull alongside Trainium ramp | POSITIVE — AI compute demand at biggest cloud |
| Broadcom (AVGO) | Supplier (Trainium silicon) | Custom silicon scale-up | POSITIVE — every Trainium ramp = AVGO supply |
| AMD | Supplier | MI series in AWS catalog | Positive |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | Cloud peer | MSFT Azure +39% > AWS +28% | Mixed — narrative tension |
| Google (GOOGL) | Cloud peer | GCP +63% — leading growth | YELLOW FLAG for AWS narrative |
| Anthropic (private) | Strategic partner | Compute commitments scaling | POSITIVE — answers MSFT-OpenAI structurally |
| Meta (META) | Cloud customer / peer | AWS spillover; ad-tech overlap | Neutral-positive |
| OpenAI (private) | Indirect competitor (via Azure) | AWS-Anthropic answer to Azure-OpenAI | Validates Anthropic commercial viability |
| Snowflake, MongoDB, Datadog (SNOW, MDB, DDOG) | AWS customer ecosystem | AWS +28% supports cloud-native consumption | POSITIVE |
| The Trade Desk (TTD), Magnite (MGNI), PubMatic (PUBM) | Adjacent ad-tech | Advertising +24% confirms macro ad strength | Positive |
| Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT) | Retail competitors | NA +12% acceleration | Mixed — AMZN gaining share |
| Shopify (SHOP) | Ecosystem complement / competitor | 3P seller services strong | Neutral |
| Power IPPs (CEG, VST, TLN) | Energy supply | $200B implied capex underpins multi-year power demand | POSITIVE |
| Networking / cooling (ANET, VRT, ETN) | Datacenter buildout | Capex flow-through | POSITIVE |
| Rivian (RIVN) | Equity stake | Quarterly MTM may show in non-op income | Mixed — could be EPS noise |
| UPS, FedEx (UPS, FDX) | Logistics | Amazon Logistics build-out | Mixed — AMZN scaling own delivery |
| Costco (COST), TJX, Five Below (FIVE) | Off-price / membership retail | Subscription services +14.6%; consumer engagement | Neutral-positive |
| OpenAI (private) | Multi-gigawatt Trainium customer | Joins Anthropic as second AI-lab Trainium anchor; GPT-5.4/5.5 live in Bedrock; co-built stateful agent runtime | STRONG POSITIVE — diversifies AMZN's AI-lab exposure beyond Anthropic |
| Meta (META) | Graviton customer (new disclosure) | "Tens of millions of Graviton cores" committed for CPU-intensive agentic AI workloads | POSITIVE — new explicit cross-company AI compute commitment |
| Apple (AAPL) | Amazon Leo D2D partner | Agreement for Amazon Leo to power satellite services for iPhones / Apple Watches via Globalstar spectrum | POSITIVE for AAPL Services / connectivity |
| Delta Air Lines (DAL), JetBlue (JBLU) | Amazon Leo aviation customers | Delta committed at least half its fleet starting 2028 | Positive Leo monetization signal |
| AT&T, Vodafone, DIRECTV LATAM, Australia NBN, NASA, DP World Tour | Amazon Leo enterprise/govt | Named commitments | Positive Leo TAM expansion |
| Globalstar (GSAT) | Acquisition | Announced acquisition for global D2D spectrum + satellite know-how | Strategic asset acquisition |
| Netflix (NFLX) | Amazon Audiences partner | Deepened partnership — shopping/browsing signals applied to NFLX CTV inventory | Mutual positive |
| Comcast Advertising (CMCSA), Samsung TVs | Ad partners | Local ads expansion + interactive video ad capability launch | Positive |
| Uber (UBER) | Trainium + Zoox partner | Trainium customer; Zoox available via Uber app in Las Vegas, Los Angeles next | Positive |
| U.S. Bank, Fox, Southwest Airlines, U.S. Army, Bloomberg, Cerebras, Nokia, Nat Geo Society, PGA TOUR, Fundamental | New AWS customers | Listed as new since last call | Pipeline breadth |
Data sourced from Daloopa. Document search is currently in beta; transcript and filing snippets may vary.