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NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Earnings
> 2026Q1 Review
NET | Earnings Review
| Metric | Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $379M | $401M | $430M | $460M | $479M | $512M | $562M | $614M | $640M |
| Revenue YoY % | - | - | - | - | +26.5% | +27.8% | +30.7% | +33.6% | +33.5% |
| US revenue | $196M | $207M | $215M | $231M | $235M | $252M | $283M | $304M | $316M |
| US revenue YoY % | - | - | - | - | +19.5% | +21.7% | +31.4% | +31.4% | +34.4% |
| EMEA revenue | $105M | $111M | $122M | $128M | $134M | $143M | $153M | $168M | $176M |
| EMEA revenue YoY % | - | - | - | - | +27.0% | +29.2% | +25.9% | +30.9% | +31.2% |
| APAC revenue | $48M | $52M | $59M | $64M | $73M | $75M | $85M | $97M | $99M |
| APAC revenue YoY % | - | - | - | - | +53.9% | +44.1% | +43.3% | +50.0% | +34.3% |
| Non-GAAP gross margin | 79.5% | 79.0% | 78.8% | 77.6% | 77.1% | 76.3% | 75.3% | 74.9% | 72.8% |
| Non-GAAP op margin | 11.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% |
| Non-GAAP EPS | $0.16 | $0.20 | $0.20 | $0.19 | $0.16 | $0.21 | $0.27 | $0.28 | $0.25 |
| Non-GAAP EPS YoY % | - | - | - | - | +0.0% | +5.0% | +35.0% | +47.4% | +56.2% |
| Free cash flow | $36M | $38M | $45M | $48M | $53M | $33M | $75M | $99M | $84M |
| Free cash flow YoY % | - | - | - | - | +48.6% | -13.1% | +65.6% | +107.9% | +59.0% |
| $100K+ paying customers | 2,878.0 | 3,046.0 | 3,265.0 | 3,497.0 | 3,527.0 | 3,712.0 | 4,009.0 | 4,298.0 | 4,416.0 |
| $100K+ paying customers YoY % | - | - | - | - | +22.6% | +21.9% | +22.8% | +22.9% | +25.2% |
| Dollar-based net retention | 115.0% | 112.0% | 110.0% | 111.0% | 111.0% | 114.0% | 119.0% | 120.0% | 118.0% |
Top-line is re-accelerating: +25% Q1'24 → +27% Q1'25 → +33.5% Q1'26 — the second consecutive quarter of acceleration. Enterprise traction is the story: $100K+ customers +25% YoY, DBNR +7pp YoY. The risk is margin trajectory: non-GAAP GM dropped 4.3pp YoY as Cloudflare ramps GPU/AI compute capacity to capture inference workloads. If revenue keeps accelerating, the GM compression is self-funded growth; if growth stalls before margins recover, the model breaks.
Beat/Miss
Guidance
Catalysts
Street Q&A
Contradictions
Read-Throughs
| Metric | Consensus | Actual | Variance | Beat/Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $620.8M Street | $639.8M | +$19M / +3.1% | BEAT (above high end of $620-621M company guide) |
| Non-GAAP diluted EPS | $0.23 Street | $0.25 | +$0.02 / +8.7% | BEAT |
| Non-GAAP operating margin | ~12% expected | 11.4% | -60bps | Slight MISS |
| Non-GAAP gross margin | ~75% expected | 72.8% | -220bps | MISS (AI infra ramp) |
| DBNR (NRR) | ~114% expected | 118% | +400bps | BIG BEAT |
Pattern: Cloudflare has now beat revenue and EPS for 6+ consecutive quarters. The character of the beat has shifted — Q1 2026 was 'revenue acceleration' driven (top line +33.5% vs +30% prior), whereas Q3-Q4 2025 was 'margin expansion' driven. DBNR going from 110% in Q3 2024 to 118% today is the cleanest signal of large-customer monetization. Magnitude of the EPS beat (+8.7%) is in line with recent history. The real watch: GM has stair-stepped down 7pp from peak 79.5% in Q1 2024 to 72.8% today — that's the AI capex bill arriving.
| Metric | Prior Guide | New Guide (May '26) | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 Revenue | N/A (new period) | $664-$665M (~+30% YoY) | Slightly deceleration vs Q1 +33%, but ahead of Street ~$655M |
| FY 2026 Revenue (low) | ~$2.78B implied | $2.805B | Raised on Q1 beat |
| FY 2026 Revenue (high) | ~$2.79B implied | $2.813B | +~$25M at midpoint |
| FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS (low) | $1.17 prior | $1.19 | +$0.02 |
| FY 2026 Non-GAAP EPS (high) | $1.18 prior | $1.20 | +$0.02 |
| Non-GAAP op margin | Implicit ~13-14% | Maintained ~13-14% FY | 1H pressure to be offset in 2H as AI ramp moderates |
| Catalyst | Timing | Consensus / Watch | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Workers AI / inference monetization | Through FY26 | Mgmt: 'inference workloads accelerating'; no $ disclosure | Single biggest swing factor for FY27 growth |
| Gross margin recovery | 2H 2026 onwards | Mgmt expects GM to stabilize as AI capex moderates | Bull case: GM stops declining; bear case: it keeps going to ~70% |
| Enterprise / $100K+ customer growth | Ongoing | +25% YoY; 72% of total revenue from large customers | Confirms enterprise traction; expect continued mix shift |
| Federal / sovereign workloads | FY26-27 | Mgmt cited 'public sector deal momentum' | Adds another growth vector; capacity-constrained per call |
| Competitive position vs hyperscalers | Ongoing | Cloudflare's 'AI Internet' positioning differentiates from AWS/Azure/GCP | Bull case for premium multiple |
| DBNR trajectory | Quarterly | 118% — first deceleration in 4 quarters after peaking at 120% | Watch closely; further drop would be concerning |
| Question | Management response | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| What is the trajectory for gross margin — when does compression end? | Seifert: 'short-term as we build out GPU infrastructure'; expects stabilization in 2H 2026 as capex moderates. No firm bottom forecast. | Partly answered — light on specifics |
| DBNR dropped from 120% to 118%. Is this the start of a downtrend? | Prince: 'within the normal range of variation'; tied to mix of new vs expansion bookings. | Honest but non-committal |
| How material is Workers AI revenue today? | Mgmt declined to provide AI revenue split; described it as 'meaningful and accelerating' but in 'investment phase'. | Deflected |
| Is the FY guidance raise conservative given Q1 beat magnitude? | CFO: 'modest raise reflects Q1 outperformance; back-half assumptions unchanged.' Standard playbook. | Well answered — disciplined |
| Capital intensity — when does FCF margin recover? | Mgmt expects FCF margin in mid-teens for FY26; longer-term target 25%+; AI capex front-loaded. | Well answered |
| Theme | Commentary | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| Edge / CDN peers | NET revenue +33.5% with broad enterprise traction | Negative read for AKAM, FSLY (slower-growing peers); positive for FTNT/PANW security stack |
| AI infrastructure / GPU buildout | GM -430bps YoY on GPU capex; FCF margin -300bps QoQ | Positive demand signal for NVDA, AMD GPUs; supports the 'inference at edge' thesis |
| Hyperscaler comp dynamics | Cloudflare positioning 'AI Internet' as differentiated vs AWS/Azure/GCP | Neutral for AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL; Cloudflare not a meaningful share-taker yet but watch enterprise wins |
| Enterprise software demand | $100K+ customers +25% YoY, DBNR 118% | Positive read for enterprise SaaS (DDOG, SNOW, CRWD, ZS) - tape supports 'enterprise spend is healthy' |
| Federal / sovereign IT | Mgmt cited public sector deal momentum, capacity constrained | Positive read for federal IT (CACI, BAH, LDOS); confirms public sector cloud adoption continues |
| Investment-mode growth profile | FCF margin 13% (vs 16% peak Q4), GM down 430bps; investing through growth | Sets up comparable story for SNOW, MDB, DDOG (whose AI capex is also ramping) |
Data sourced from Daloopa. Document search is currently in beta; transcript and filing snippets may vary.