Built by Claude Fable

DOCN | How the Business Works

NYSE: DOCN  | A usage-billed cloud for developers, digital native enterprises and AI-native software companies, now pivoting from a slow-growing general-purpose cloud to capacity-led AI inference.
ARR (Q2'26)
$1,125M
Quarterly revenue x4, +29% YoY
AI customer ARR
$234M
+212% YoY, ~21% of ARR
$1M+ customer share
23%
of ARR vs 9% a year ago
Committed capacity
~155 MW
Majority online by end of 2027
How DigitalOcean makes money

DigitalOcean rents cloud infrastructure on a usage basis. Customers pay for what they consume (compute hours, storage, bandwidth, GPU time, inference tokens), billed monthly, with a growing layer of multi-year committed contracts from its largest customers. There is one reporting segment; management splits the business into two engines in its disclosures.

The pitch is simplicity and price/performance versus AWS, Azure and GCP, with no lock-in and open source at every layer. That is also the weakness: the primitives are portable, so DOCN is a price taker (see Thematics).


Revenue and ARR build (8 quarters)
MetricQ3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
Revenue ($M)198.5204.9210.7218.7229.6242.4257.9281.2
Revenue YoY12.1%13.3%14.1%13.6%15.7%18.3%22.4%28.6%
ARR ($M)7988208438759209701,0321,125
Incremental ARR ($M)2426~233244516293
AI customer ARR ($M)n/dn/dn/dn/dn/d120170234
AI customer ARR YoY~200% (AI/ML)~160%>160%n/d>100%150%221%212%
$1M+ customer ARR ($M)n/dn/dn/dn/d110133183~259
Net dollar retention97%99%100%99%99%n/dn/dn/d
GAAP gross margin60.2%57.1%61.4%59.9%59.6%58.7%56.1%55.0%
Adj. EBITDA margin44%42%41%41%43%41%41%40%

ARR is quarterly revenue x4 from Q4'24 onward (Q3'24 is the old final-month x12 method). Q1'25 incremental ARR is calculated from the ARR change. Q2'26 $1M+ ARR is 23% of total ARR as disclosed. AI ARR growth before Q4'25 refers to the AI/ML product line, a narrower definition than "AI customer ARR." Management says NDR excludes AI and has become "a less useful measure"; after Q3'25 it disclosed NDR only by cohort (D&E 102%, $1M+ 115% in Q4'25). n/d = not disclosed in the calls.


Customer cohorts: the business is moving up-market
CohortWhat it isLatest disclosure
Developers / learnersSelf-serve, low spend, long tail~11% to 12% of revenue (2024 to 2025); lower NDR than D&E
Builders, Scalers, Scalers+Higher-spend digital natives (170K+ customers)88% to 89% of revenue (2024 to 2025)
Scalers+ ($100K+ ARR)Largest digital native accounts22% of revenue, +37% YoY (Q4'24); ARR +98% YoY (Q2'26)
$500K+ ARRFast-scaling D&E and AI nativesARR +160% YoY (Q2'26)
$1M+ ARRAI natives and largest D&E (Cursor, Higgsfield, Ideogram, Fal)ARR +214% YoY; 23% of ARR vs 9% a year ago; 115% NDR, zero churn (Q4'25)
D&E totalDigital native enterprises$604M ARR, 62% of total, +30% YoY, 102% NDR (Q4'25)

Two things are happening at once. The top cohorts, mostly AI-native companies running inference, are compounding at triple-digit rates and signing 8-figure committed contracts (RPO $243M in Q1'26, up ~1,700% YoY). The legacy core underneath is growing roughly 11% (PM review estimate: core ARR ~$891M vs ~$800M a year ago).


Unit economics: growth now runs on megawatts

DigitalOcean leases data center space and buys or finances the equipment inside it. Growth is now gated by power capacity, so the model has shifted from a capital-light SaaS-like cloud to a capex-heavy infrastructure business.

Capacity stepSizeTimingWhat it drives
Atlanta AI data centerLargest single siteLive 2025GPU inference capacity
Incremental leases (Q3'25)~30 MWThrough 2026~25% exit growth in 2026
Committed for 2026 (Q4'25 framing)31 MW, 3 facilitiesOnline by end of 2026FY26 guide built only on this
Post equity raise (Q1'26)+60 MW, 4 locationsRamps through 2027Funded by the $888M raise
Q2'26 add+20 MWLate 2027 into 20282027 "50% plus" growth target
Total committed~155 MWMajority by end of 2027

Management's argument is that software makes each megawatt worth more: inference, storage and core cloud attached to GPUs earn more ARR per MW than bare-metal neoclouds (roughly 70% of $100K+ AI customers also buy core cloud). The cost shows up on the Financials page: GAAP gross margin is down ~490 bps YoY, TTM free cash flow is about $15M, finance leases total $578M, and diluted shares are up 25.8% YoY. The FY26 adjusted FCF margin guide was reset to 11% to 13% (from 18% to 20%) to pull forward 2027 capacity costs.


Competitive position
ArenaDOCN shareMain competitorsDOCN's edge
Global cloud infrastructure~0.2%AWS ~28%, Azure ~20%, GCP ~15%Simplicity, predictable pricing, developer brand
Developer / SMB alt-cloudNiche leaderAkamai/Linode, Vultr, Hetzner, OVHcloudBroadest integrated stack in the niche
Neocloud / GPU cloud~0.7%CoreWeave (10x DOCN revenue), Nebius, Lambda, CrusoeFull stack beyond bare metal
Managed inferenceSmall, fast-growingTogether, Fireworks, Baseten, hyperscaler APIs, CoreWeavePrice/performance (e.g. ~50% lower cost per token for character.ai)

Bottom line: a good product in two fast-growing markets with no structural pricing power. The investable question is whether AI inference ARR per megawatt earns a return above the cost of the equity and lease capital funding it. See Overview for the full score.


Data sourced from DigitalOcean earnings call transcripts FY2024Q3 to FY2026Q2 and FMP statements; market share from web sources (directional). Daloopa not connected for this run; figures not yet re-tied. Prepared 2026-10-19.