Investor Sentiment -- 7/10 (Inverted)
Real management-Street divergence with 5 consecutive beats and only 4 analysts covering a $20B company.
Price targets trail the stock. But the divergence is narrowing after a 580% run -- the easy alpha is gone.
Score inverted per framework: higher sentiment score = more contrarian opportunity remaining.
Weight: 15%
Management-Street Divergence (50% of Sentiment Score)
Consecutive Beats
5
Quarters in a row
Book-to-Bill
1.41x
CapEx raised 25%
Analyst Coverage
4
On a $20B company
Avg Price Target
$174
Stock at $197 -- targets trail
Analyst Consensus
| Rating | Count |
|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 3 |
| Buy | 1 |
| Hold | 0 |
| Sell | 0 |
Insider & Institutional Activity
| Metric | Detail |
|---|---|
| Insider Activity | Net selling ~$10M trailing 12 months (10b5-1 plans) |
| Notable Buy | Wajid Ali purchased at $41 in Aug 2025 |
| Short Interest | 4.67M shares, ~6.6% of float, declining 18% |
| Institutional Ownership | 96%, index-heavy (BlackRock, Vanguard, State Street) |
| Retail Sentiment | Low attention, not a meme stock. Some "multibagger" list mentions. |
Assessment
Score: 7/10 (inverted). There is real divergence here -- only 4 analysts
covering a $20B market cap company, price targets trailing the stock, and 5 consecutive beats suggesting the Street
still underestimates TTM's trajectory. The book-to-bill of 1.41x and 25% CapEx raise are signals management sees
more demand than consensus models. However, the divergence is narrowing after a 580% stock run. Short interest is
declining (bears capitulating), insider selling is programmatic but still net negative, and institutional ownership
is heavily index-driven rather than active conviction. The contrarian opportunity is real but diminishing.
Data sourced from Daloopa, TTM Technologies filings, and earnings call transcripts.