Financial Trends -- 7/10

One of the strongest top-line and margin trajectories in TTMI's history. Revenue YoY accelerating to +30.4% in Q1'26 (fastest in the dataset), led by data-center/commercial demand. Non-GAAP gross margin +350bps YoY and operating margin +570bps YoY on genuine operating leverage. Earnings accelerating; share count and debt essentially flat. On operations alone this is a 9. The single material weakness: free cash flow fell from $176M (2022) to under $18M (2025) and is modestly negative on a trailing basis as net capex more than doubled to fund a capacity build. The mandatory negative-FCF penalty caps the score at 6; a one-point judgment add for the flat balance sheet and rising operating cash lands it at 7. Weight: 25%
Q1'26 Revenue
$846M
src | +30.4% YoY | Accelerating
Margins
Expanding
Op margin +570bps YoY | Positive
FCF
Negative
Capex build, -2 penalty | Blemish
Share Count
Flat
~+2.9% YoY | Below penalty bar
Quarterly Revenue Trajectory ($k)
Quarter Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26
Net Sales $570,113 $605,137 $616,538 $650,965 $648,668 $730,621 $752,736 $774,320 $845,976
YoY +4.7% +10.7% +7.7% +14.4% +13.8% +20.7% +22.1% +18.9% +30.4%
Clear revenue acceleration: +4.7% (Q1'24) to +30.4% (Q1'26). Revenue YoY is the fastest in the dataset in Q1'26. The Commercial segment (data-center compute) is the driver, growing from $332.7M (Q1'25) to $495.0M (Q1'26), +48.8% YoY, while Aerospace & Defense grows steadily at mid-single to low-double digits.

Gross Profit ($k)
Metric Q1'25 Q1'26 YoY
Gross Profit $130,972 $181,181 +38.3%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin 20.8% 22.3% +150 bps
Gross profit dollars grew +38.3% YoY with margin expansion, not compression. Non-GAAP gross margin expanded +150bps YoY in Q1'26 (and ~350bps versus Q1'24), evidence of real operating leverage as volume ramps in higher-mix data-center and advanced-PCB work.

Annual Financial Summary (FY ends late December)
Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Net Sales ($k) $2,248,740 $2,495,046 $2,232,567 $2,442,753 $2,906,345
Rev YoY +11.0% -10.5% +9.4% +19.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin 17.0% 18.9% 19.6% 20.4% 21.3%
Adj EBITDA ($k) $275,608 $343,085 $298,193 $352,509 $456,304
Adj EBITDA Margin 12.3% 13.8% 13.4% 14.4% 15.7%
Non-GAAP Net Income ($k) $138,034 $181,183 $139,540 $178,390 $258,970
Diluted Shares ($k) 108,153 103,866 102,744 104,098 105,453
Key trends

Segment Revenue ($k, Quarterly)
Segment Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26
Aerospace & Defense $316,250 $327,569 $336,841 $317,970 $351,664
Commercial $332,705 $395,624 $408,920 $448,452 $495,043
Commercial is now the larger and faster-growing engine. The Commercial segment (data-center & networking-led) grew from $332.7M (Q1'25) to $495.0M (Q1'26), +48.8% YoY, overtaking Aerospace & Defense, which grew steadily to $351.7M. The mix shift toward higher-value data-center work is driving the margin expansion.

Free Cash Flow ($k)
Metric FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Net Capex ($96,874) ($159,737) ($152,871) ($273,940)
Free Cash Flow $175,999 $27,547 $84,023 $17,942
FCF YoY -84.3% +205.0% -78.6%
FCF is the clear blemish -- declining and negative on a trailing basis. Annual FCF fell from $176.0M (2022) to $84.0M (2024) to just $17.9M (2025) as net capex more than doubled to $273.9M, and quarterly FCF swung to -$73.9M (Q1'25) and -$85.1M (Q1'26) on capacity-build outlays. Operating cash generation is healthy and rising, but the company does not yet self-fund its growth. This triggers the mandatory negative-FCF penalty (-2) and the hard cap at 6.

Blemishes & Penalty Modifiers
Blemish Detail Penalty
Negative / Declining FCF FCF fell from $176M (2022) to $18M (2025), negative on a trailing basis, as net capex doubled to $274M for a multi-year capacity build (Syracuse, Eau Claire, Penang) -2, cap at 6
Mild Share Dilution Diluted shares ~+2.9% YoY (107.1M vs 104.1M) -- below the 10% penalty threshold None
Debt Growth Long-term debt essentially flat (~$912-914M) for 3+ years while revenue grew ~30% -- debt is not growing faster than revenue None
The cash drain is investment-led, not operational deterioration. Operating cash flow and EBITDA are rising while debt stays flat, so business quality is improving. But per the rubric, a company that cannot yet self-fund its growth does not earn financial-strength credit on cash flow -- hence the negative-FCF penalty and the score near the cap.

Score Rationale

Score of 7/10 reflects a near-textbook operating profile held back by one material blemish. On operating fundamentals alone this is a 9; the mandatory negative-FCF penalty caps it at 6, and a one-point judgment add lands it at 7.

Supports the high underlying grade:

Blemish (the reason it is not an 8-9):


Data sourced from Daloopa (company_id: 7157). Fiscal year ends late December. All financials in USD thousands unless noted.