Financial Trends -- 8.0/10

Cheniere Energy delivered a strong re-acceleration in FY2025 after the FY2024 trough. Revenue recovered to $20.0B (+27% YoY) as LNG prices normalized higher and volumes grew 3.9% to 2,416 TBtu. Adj. EBITDA reached $6.94B (+12.7% YoY) while CEI distributable cash flow surged 42% to $5.30B, driven by EBITDA growth and lower interest expense from debt paydown. Operating margin expanded from 39.0% to 45.6% as the normalized earnings trajectory became clear. The share count continued to decline (-3.8% YoY) under the $10B buyback authorization through 2030. Weight: 25%
FY2025 Revenue
$20.0B
+27% YoY -- re-accelerating from trough
Adj. EBITDA
$6.94B
+12.7% YoY -- growing
CEI DCF
$5.3B
+42% YoY -- accelerating
LNG Volumes
2,416 TBtu
+3.9% YoY -- Stage 3 ramp
Annual Financial Summary (FY2023-FY2025)
MetricFY2023FY2024FY2025
Revenue$20.4B$15.7B$20.0B
Adj. EBITDA$5.75B$6.16B$6.94B
CEI DCF$3.15B$3.73B$5.30B
Shares (M)$242.6$229.1$220.3
LNG Volumes (TBtu)$2318$2325$2416
Operating Margin75.9%*39.0%45.6%
Key trends

FY2026 Guidance
MetricLowHigh
EBITDA$6.75B$7.25B
CEI DCF$4.35B$4.85B

Score rationale

Cheniere Energy delivered a clear re-acceleration in FY2025 after the FY2024 trough. Revenue surged 27% to $20.0B, EBITDA grew 12.7% to $6.94B, and distributable cash flow jumped 42% to $5.30B -- beating the high end of guidance by $450M. The financial trajectory confirms management credibility: they called FY2024 as the trough on the Q3 2024 earnings call and delivered exactly that.

The DCF growth of 42% significantly outpacing EBITDA growth of 12.7% is a key positive signal, reflecting the compounding benefit of debt paydown reducing interest expense. Combined with the aggressive share buyback (9.2% reduction over two years), per-share economics are improving even faster than headline figures suggest.

The score reflects a modest deduction for: (1) FY2026 guidance implies roughly flat EBITDA and lower DCF vs. FY2025, partly due to the discrete tax benefit that flattered FY2025 results, (2) operating margin of 45.6% is expanding but remains well below the derivative-inflated FY2023 level, making the true normalized trend harder to benchmark, and (3) 95%+ contracted cash flows limit upside optionality in a rising LNG price environment.

Score: 8.0/10 -- Strong re-acceleration from FY2024 trough. DCF growth of 42% is exceptional. Consistent guide-raise-beat pattern. Deducted for flat FY2026 guidance and discrete tax benefit effects on comparability.


Data sourced from Daloopa (company_id: 949), company filings, and earnings transcripts.