Financial Trends -- 8/10
Among the strongest financial profiles in the coverage universe -- a >50%-share network operating
at 60-66% operating margins, ~55-60% FCF margins, and a steadily shrinking share count. Net revenue
is re-accelerating: FQ2'26 printed +17% reported / +16% constant-dollar, the fastest since 2022,
led by cross-border, data processing, and 25%+ growth in VAS and CMS that mix-shift toward
higher-margin revenue. The lone blemish is the FY2025 GAAP op-margin dip to 60.0% on an elevated
litigation provision -- not structural cost creep; FQ2'26 snapped back to 64.4%. No penalty
modifiers apply.
Weight: 25%
Op Margin
64.4%
FQ2'26 GAAP | Best-in-class
Adj FCF (FY25)
$21.6B
Record | +15% YoY
Share Count
Declining
~2.5%/yr buyback | No dilution
Quarterly Net Revenue Trajectory ($M)
Revenue re-accelerating: constant-$ growth inflected from +11% to +16%.
FQ2'26 net revenue of +17% reported / +16% cc is the fastest since 2022. The reacceleration is
broad -- data processing and cross-border both inflected higher, and Value-Added Services
(~30% of net revenue, +24-25% cc) plus CMS (+24% cc) are out-growing the core, mix-shifting the
model toward higher-growth, higher-margin revenue.
Annual Financial Summary (FY ends September 30)
| Metric | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Revenue ($M) | $24,105M | $29,310M | $32,653M | $35,926M | $40,000M |
| Rev YoY | — | +21.6% | +11.4% | +10.0% | +11.3% |
| Non-GAAP EPS ($) | $5.91 | $7.50 | $8.77 | $10.05 | $11.47 |
| Non-GAAP EPS YoY | — | +26.9% | +16.9% | +14.6% | +14.1% |
| GAAP Op Margin | 65.6% | 64.2% | 64.3% | 65.7% | 60.0% |
| Non-GAAP Net Income ($M) | $12,933M | $16,034M | $18,280M | $20,389M | $22,542M |
| Implied Diluted Shares (M) | 2,187 | 2,137 | 2,086 | 2,029 | 1,966 |
Key trends
- Revenue compounding at ~13% CAGR: From $24.1B (FY21) to $40.0B (FY25), with quarterly momentum now re-accelerating to +16-17% in FQ2'26 on cross-border, data processing, and VAS/CMS mix
- Non-GAAP EPS compounding at ~18% CAGR: Four straight years of double-digit growth ($5.91 to $11.47), outpacing revenue on buybacks and margin
- Best-in-class margins: GAAP operating margin holds a 60-66% band; the FY25 dip to 60.0% is a litigation-provision artifact, not structural, and FQ2'26 rebounded to 64.4%
- Share count declining: Implied diluted shares fell from 2,187M (FY21) to 1,966M (FY25), ~2.5%/yr, buyback-driven with no dilution
Annual Revenue by Line ($M)
| Revenue Line | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Service | $11,475M | $13,361M | $14,826M | $16,114M | $17,539M |
| Data Processing | $12,792M | $14,438M | $16,007M | $17,714M | $19,993M |
| International Transaction | $6,530M | $9,815M | $11,638M | $12,665M | $14,166M |
| Client Incentives (contra) | ($8,367M) | ($10,295M) | ($12,297M) | ($13,764M) | ($15,751M) |
| Net Revenue | $24,105M | $29,310M | $32,653M | $35,926M | $40,000M |
The two processing lines plus international (cross-border) are the core network toll; all three compound at double-digit rates. Client incentives are a growing contra-revenue cost of retaining issuer/co-brand relationships, but net revenue still compounds at ~13%.
Free Cash Flow ($M)
FCF positive and growing -- record $21.6B in FY25 (+15%). Annual
adjusted FCF runs a ~52-60% margin, funding a fresh $20B buyback ($9.2B returned in FQ2'26). The
FY24 -5.1% dip and the noisy quarterly prints (a $2.6B / -40% FQ2'26 trough) are litigation-escrow,
working-capital and tax timing -- not deterioration. Annual FCF is the cleaner signal and it is
clearly rising.
Blemishes -- Not Operational Deterioration
| Blemish | Detail | Penalty |
|---|---|---|
| FY25 GAAP Op-Margin Dip | GAAP op margin fell to 60.0% (from 65.7% FY24) on an elevated litigation provision in opex -- a one-time/legal item, not cost creep. Op income still grew; Non-GAAP margins held ~67%; FQ2'26 snapped back to 64.4% | None |
| Quarterly FCF Volatility | Quarterly adjusted FCF swings 23-77% margin; FQ2'26 trough of $2.6B (-40% YoY) is escrow/working-capital and tax timing. Annual FCF is positive and growing every year | None |
Both blemishes are timing/legal, not operational.
The FY25 margin dip is a litigation-provision artifact that reversed in FQ2'26; quarterly FCF
lumpiness is escrow and tax timing. Operating income grew every year and hit a record $7,234M in
FQ2'26. No penalty modifiers apply -- FCF is positive and growing, shares are declining, op income
is rising, and debt is flat-to-down.
Score Rationale
Score of 8/10 reflects a high-quality compounder with improving top-line momentum. No penalty modifiers applied.
Supports 8/10:
- Net revenue re-accelerating to +17% reported / +16% cc in FQ2'26 -- the fastest since 2022
- Best-in-class 60-66% GAAP operating margins; FQ2'26 rebounded to 64.4%
- Record adjusted FCF of $21.6B in FY25 (+15% YoY), ~55-60% FCF margins
- Share count declining ~2.5%/yr, buyback-driven, no dilution
- Four straight years of double-digit non-GAAP EPS growth ($5.91 to $11.47, ~18% CAGR)
- VAS (~30% of net revenue, +24-25% cc) and CMS (+24% cc) mix-shifting toward higher-margin revenue
Acknowledged blemishes (no penalty):
- FY25 GAAP op-margin dip to 60.0% -- litigation provision, not structural; reversed in FQ2'26
- Quarterly FCF volatility -- escrow/working-capital/tax timing, not deterioration
Held back from a 10 only because margins are flat-to-modestly-expanding rather than a clean 100+bps annual expansion, and annual revenue growth has been steady ~11% rather than a multi-year acceleration.
Data sourced from Daloopa (company_id: 206). Fiscal year ends September 30. All financials in USD.