Financial Trends -- 8/10

Among the strongest financial profiles in the coverage universe -- a >50%-share network operating at 60-66% operating margins, ~55-60% FCF margins, and a steadily shrinking share count. Net revenue is re-accelerating: FQ2'26 printed +17% reported / +16% constant-dollar, the fastest since 2022, led by cross-border, data processing, and 25%+ growth in VAS and CMS that mix-shift toward higher-margin revenue. The lone blemish is the FY2025 GAAP op-margin dip to 60.0% on an elevated litigation provision -- not structural cost creep; FQ2'26 snapped back to 64.4%. No penalty modifiers apply. Weight: 25%
FQ2'26 Net Revenue
$11.23B
src | +17% reported / +16% cc | Accelerating
Op Margin
64.4%
FQ2'26 GAAP | Best-in-class
Adj FCF (FY25)
$21.6B
Record | +15% YoY
Share Count
Declining
~2.5%/yr buyback | No dilution
Quarterly Net Revenue Trajectory ($M)
Quarter 24Q2 24Q3 24Q4 25Q1 25Q2 25Q3 25Q4 26Q1
Net Revenue $8,900M $9,617M $9,510M $9,594M $10,172M $10,724M $10,901M $11,230M
YoY (reported) +9.6% +11.7% +10.1% +9.3% +14.3% +11.5% +14.6% +17.1%
Constant-$ YoY (mgmt) +12% +11% +11% +14% +11% +13% +13% +16%
Revenue re-accelerating: constant-$ growth inflected from +11% to +16%. FQ2'26 net revenue of +17% reported / +16% cc is the fastest since 2022. The reacceleration is broad -- data processing and cross-border both inflected higher, and Value-Added Services (~30% of net revenue, +24-25% cc) plus CMS (+24% cc) are out-growing the core, mix-shifting the model toward higher-growth, higher-margin revenue.

Annual Financial Summary (FY ends September 30)
Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Net Revenue ($M) $24,105M $29,310M $32,653M $35,926M $40,000M
Rev YoY +21.6% +11.4% +10.0% +11.3%
Non-GAAP EPS ($) $5.91 $7.50 $8.77 $10.05 $11.47
Non-GAAP EPS YoY +26.9% +16.9% +14.6% +14.1%
GAAP Op Margin 65.6% 64.2% 64.3% 65.7% 60.0%
Non-GAAP Net Income ($M) $12,933M $16,034M $18,280M $20,389M $22,542M
Implied Diluted Shares (M) 2,187 2,137 2,086 2,029 1,966
Key trends

Annual Revenue by Line ($M)
Revenue Line FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Service $11,475M $13,361M $14,826M $16,114M $17,539M
Data Processing $12,792M $14,438M $16,007M $17,714M $19,993M
International Transaction $6,530M $9,815M $11,638M $12,665M $14,166M
Client Incentives (contra) ($8,367M) ($10,295M) ($12,297M) ($13,764M) ($15,751M)
Net Revenue $24,105M $29,310M $32,653M $35,926M $40,000M

The two processing lines plus international (cross-border) are the core network toll; all three compound at double-digit rates. Client incentives are a growing contra-revenue cost of retaining issuer/co-brand relationships, but net revenue still compounds at ~13%.


Free Cash Flow ($M)
Metric FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024 FY2025
Cash from Operations $15,227M $18,849M $20,755M $19,950M $23,059M
Adjusted FCF $14,522M $17,879M $19,696M $18,693M $21,577M
FCF YoY +23.1% +10.2% -5.1% +15.4%
FCF Margin 60.2% 61.0% 60.3% 52.0% 53.9%
FCF positive and growing -- record $21.6B in FY25 (+15%). Annual adjusted FCF runs a ~52-60% margin, funding a fresh $20B buyback ($9.2B returned in FQ2'26). The FY24 -5.1% dip and the noisy quarterly prints (a $2.6B / -40% FQ2'26 trough) are litigation-escrow, working-capital and tax timing -- not deterioration. Annual FCF is the cleaner signal and it is clearly rising.

Blemishes -- Not Operational Deterioration
Blemish Detail Penalty
FY25 GAAP Op-Margin Dip GAAP op margin fell to 60.0% (from 65.7% FY24) on an elevated litigation provision in opex -- a one-time/legal item, not cost creep. Op income still grew; Non-GAAP margins held ~67%; FQ2'26 snapped back to 64.4% None
Quarterly FCF Volatility Quarterly adjusted FCF swings 23-77% margin; FQ2'26 trough of $2.6B (-40% YoY) is escrow/working-capital and tax timing. Annual FCF is positive and growing every year None
Both blemishes are timing/legal, not operational. The FY25 margin dip is a litigation-provision artifact that reversed in FQ2'26; quarterly FCF lumpiness is escrow and tax timing. Operating income grew every year and hit a record $7,234M in FQ2'26. No penalty modifiers apply -- FCF is positive and growing, shares are declining, op income is rising, and debt is flat-to-down.

Score Rationale

Score of 8/10 reflects a high-quality compounder with improving top-line momentum. No penalty modifiers applied.

Supports 8/10:

Acknowledged blemishes (no penalty):

Held back from a 10 only because margins are flat-to-modestly-expanding rather than a clean 100+bps annual expansion, and annual revenue growth has been steady ~11% rather than a multi-year acceleration.


Data sourced from Daloopa (company_id: 206). Fiscal year ends September 30. All financials in USD.