Financial Trends -- 8/10

MongoDB delivered accelerating revenue growth at $2.5B scale, massive operating leverage (non-GAAP margins from 7% to 23%), and a FCF inflection from $115M to $493M. Atlas re-accelerated from +24% to +30% on core demand, not AI hype. Customer metrics are healthy across the board with net ARR expansion improving to 121%. The primary negatives are GAAP unprofitability driven by $574M in SBC and ~200-300bp gross margin compression as Atlas grows as a share of the mix. Weight: 25%
FY26 Revenue
$2,464M
+22.8% YoY | Exiting at +27% in FQ4
FY26 FCF
$493M
+330% YoY | 20% FCF margin
Non-GAAP Op Margin
23%
FQ4 FY26 | Up from 7% in FQ1 FY25
Net ARR Expansion
121%
FQ4 FY26 | $1M+ customers +26% YoY
Revenue Trajectory (USD M, Quarterly)
Revenue re-accelerating at scale. Growth bottomed at ~13% in FQ2 FY25 and re-accelerated to +27% by FQ4 FY26, driven by Atlas strength and large multiyear EA deals. FY27 consensus estimates reflect management guidance of 16-18% growth, which is conservative given the beat-and-raise pattern (FY26 actual beat initial guide by $190M).
MetricFQ1 FY24FQ2 FY24FQ3 FY24FQ4 FY24FQ1 FY25FQ2 FY25FQ3 FY25FQ4 FY25FQ1 FY26FQ2 FY26FQ3 FY26FQ4 FY26
Revenue ($M)$368.3M$423.8M$432.9M$458.0M$450.6M$478.1M$529.4M$548.4M$549.0M$591.4M$628.3M$695.1M
YoY Growth22.3%12.8%22.3%19.7%21.8%23.7%18.7%26.8%
FY25 Total: $2,007M (+19.3%) | FY26 Total: $2,464M (+22.8%). Data sourced from Daloopa.

Atlas Revenue -- Cloud Database Platform
Atlas re-accelerated from +24% to +30%. Atlas (72-75% of revenue) re-accelerated from a trough of +24% in FQ4 FY25 to +30% in FQ3 FY26, driven by improving workload cohorts, upmarket strength, and broad-based consumption growth. Management attributed this to core pre-AI demand, with AI contribution described as "still early."
MetricFQ1 FY25FQ2 FY25FQ3 FY25FQ4 FY25FQ1 FY26FQ2 FY26FQ3 FY26FQ4 FY26
Atlas ($M)$313.9M$339.7M$362.6M$389.0M$395.9M$439.0M$470.4M$502.6M
Atlas YoY Growth32%27%26%24%26%29%30%29%
Atlas % of Revenue70%71%69%71%72%74%75%72%
Data sourced from Daloopa.

Operating Margin Expansion
Massive operating leverage. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded from 7% (FQ1 FY25) to 23% (FQ4 FY26) -- a 16-point improvement in 8 quarters. GAAP margins improved from -22% to near breakeven. The gap between GAAP and non-GAAP is almost entirely SBC ($574M in FY26), which is the key concern. Management targets 100-200bps average annual margin expansion per their Investor Day framework.
MetricFQ1 FY25FQ2 FY25FQ3 FY25FQ4 FY25FQ1 FY26FQ2 FY26FQ3 FY26FQ4 FY26
Non-GAAP Op Margin7%11%19%21%16%15%20%23%
GAAP Op Margin-22%-15%-5%-3%-10%-11%-3%0%
Non-GAAP Op Income$31.5M$52.6M$101.5M$112.5M$87.8M$88.7M$123.1M$160.0M
Data sourced from Daloopa.

Free Cash Flow Inflection
FCF inflection -- $115M to $493M (+330% YoY). FCF margin expanded from 5.7% (FY25) to 20.0% (FY26). FCF conversion exceeded 100% of non-GAAP net income. This was driven by strong operating profit growth and improving working capital. Management has committed 100% of FCF to share buybacks via the $1B repurchase program.
MetricFQ1 FY25FQ2 FY25FQ3 FY25FQ4 FY25FQ1 FY26FQ2 FY26FQ3 FY26FQ4 FY26
FCF ($M)$61.0M$-4.0M$34.6M$22.9M$105.9M$69.9M$140.1M$176.7M
FY25 FCF: $114.5M (5.7% margin) | FY26 FCF: $492.6M (20.0% margin). Data sourced from Daloopa.

Customer Metrics
Healthy customer expansion across all cohorts. Total customers grew +20% YoY (54,500 to 65,200), accelerating from +14% a year ago. $100K+ customers grew +17% YoY. $1M+ ARR customers grew +26% YoY (320 to 402), confirming upmarket traction. Net ARR expansion improved from a 118% trough in FQ4 FY25 to 121% in FQ4 FY26.
MetricFQ1 FY25FQ2 FY25FQ3 FY25FQ4 FY25FQ1 FY26FQ2 FY26FQ3 FY26FQ4 FY26
Total Customers49,20050,70052,60054,50057,10059,90062,50065,200
$100K+ Customers2,1372,1892,3142,3962,5062,5642,6942,799
Net ARR Expansion120%119%120%118%119%119%120%121%
$1M+ ARR customers: 320 (FQ4 FY25) to 402 (FQ4 FY26), +26% YoY. Data sourced from Daloopa.

Concerns: SBC and Gross Margin Compression
SBC is $574M (23% of revenue) -- the GAAP/non-GAAP bridge is almost entirely stock comp. While SBC as a percentage of revenue is declining (from 28% to 22%), the absolute level keeps GAAP net income negative (-$71M in FY26). Gross margins compressed ~200-300bps from FY24 peaks as Atlas (slightly lower margin) grows as a share of the mix. This is structural but manageable -- Atlas margins are improving YoY.

Non-GAAP EPS Trajectory
FY25 Non-GAAP EPS: $3.65 | FY26 Non-GAAP EPS: $4.97 (+36% YoY). Strong operating leverage driving EPS growth well ahead of revenue growth.

Acceleration / Deceleration Analysis
Signal Detail Direction
Revenue Growth +13% trough (FQ2 FY25) re-accelerated to +27% (FQ4 FY26); highest growth rate in 8 quarters Accelerating
Atlas Growth +24% trough re-accelerated to +30%; core pre-AI demand, AI contribution still early Accelerating
Operating Margins Non-GAAP 7% to 23% in 8 quarters; GAAP from -22% to ~0% Expanding
FCF Generation $115M to $493M (+330% YoY); 20% FCF margin; conversion >100% of non-GAAP NI Inflecting
Customer Expansion Net ARR expansion 118% to 121%; $1M+ customers +26% YoY; total +20% Improving
Gross Margins Non-GAAP compressed ~200-300bps from FY24 peaks; Atlas mix shift is structural Compressing
SBC Burden $574M (23% of rev); declining as % but absolute level keeps GAAP unprofitable Elevated

Score Derivation
Component Assessment Score
Revenue growth and trajectory +23% FY26 with re-acceleration to +27% exit rate at $2.4B scale 8.0
Gross margin quality 71-75% non-GAAP but declining; mix-driven compression 7.0
Operating leverage Non-GAAP op margin 7% to 23% in 8 quarters; GAAP still negative 7.5
FCF generation $493M FCF, 20% margin, +330% YoY; outstanding 9.0
EPS trajectory Non-GAAP EPS +36% YoY; GAAP still negative 7.5
Customer KPIs All metrics improving; NRR re-expanding; $1M+ customers +26% 8.5
SBC / dilution 23% of revenue; share count stabilizing but absolute level high 6.5
Weighted Average ~7.7
Revenue re-acceleration bonus Atlas +24% to +30%; total revenue +13% to +27% +0.5
Gross margin compression penalty ~200-300bps decline; structural from Atlas mix -0.5
SBC/GAAP profitability gap penalty $574M SBC vs GAAP net loss of -$71M -0.5
FCF inflection bonus FCF margin 5.7% to 20.0%; conversion >100% +0.5
Customer improvement bonus NRR 118% to 121%; $1M+ customers +26% YoY +0.5
Final Score Net modifiers: +0.5 8.0 / 10
Final Score: 8.0 / 10. MongoDB is a high-quality growth compounder with improving unit economics. Revenue re-accelerated to +27% at $2.5B scale, non-GAAP margins expanded from 7% to 23%, and FCF inflected from $115M to $493M. The score is penalized modestly for the GAAP/SBC gap ($574M, 23% of revenue) and structural gross margin compression from Atlas mix shift. All customer metrics are improving and the beat-and-raise management pattern suggests FY27 consensus estimates (16-18% growth) are beatable.

Key Risks to Score
Upside: Atlas sustains +30% growth; AI/agentic workloads begin contributing material revenue; FY27 beats conservative guidance by $150M+ (consistent with FY26 pattern); non-GAAP margins reach mid-20s; GAAP turns profitable as SBC declines to sub-20% of revenue. Score moves to 9.0.
Downside: CRO departure disrupts sales execution; PostgreSQL competitive wins accelerate (especially with pgvector for AI use cases); Atlas growth decelerates to sub-20%; gross margins compress further below 73%; new CEO stumbles on strategic priorities. Score drops to 6.5-7.0.